From: [umfran z m] at [cc.umanitoba.ca] (Jeff Scott Franzmann) Newsgroups: talk.politics.guns Subject: Guns In Cause & Prevention Of Crime (from Untitled WIP by J.Franzmann) Date: 13 Nov 1994 05:52:23 GMT In Canada, firearm ownership is relatively close to that of the United States in terms of ownership per capita. According to a 1991 poll conducted by Angus Reid, commissioned by the Justice Department, of 9.6 million Canadian households, 2.2 million reported owning at leas one type of firearm. According to generous estimates, this places appx 8 million firearms in Canadian homes (1 for every 3 citizens). However, a more reasonable estimate is probably around 4-5 million. While this doesn't approach the same lever of ownership as that found in the United States, it is nowhere near as low as some people have claimed. Ownership rates vary widely from province to province. According to the same Angus Reid poll, the ownership rates varied from 15% in Ontario to 67% in the Yukon and Northwest Territories. Alberta gun ownership rate is estimated to be 39%. For those who enjoy a Frazerian method of analysis, the Canadian example ruins both sides of the pro/anti-gun argument concerning ownership rates and violent crime rates *. First, and most obviously, is the high ownership of guns in Canada. According to the position put forward by the more vocal advocates of strict gun control, Canada should have a much higher violent crime rate involving the use of firearms compared to that of the United States. THe relationship, however, falls apart. The crime rates in the United States and Canada are so divergent that in an overall analysis of the two nations, legal ownership of firearms cannot be considered to be a large factor in the size of the violent crime rate. However, the avid proponents of the RKBA like to point out that in the cities and states with strict gun control laws in the United States, the lack of gun ownership rates contributes to a high crime rate. They use these examples to prove the assertion that areas where people are not given the right to carry a weapon (concealed or in the open) are inherently more dangerous than those areas where ownership of firearms is more restrictive. Unfortunately, Canadian examples prove this assertion wrong again. By this method of reasoning, Ontario and New Brunswick should have among the highest crime rates in Canada (in terms of murder and violent crime). These dubious honours belong instead to Manitoba, British Columbia and the Northwest Territories, areas where gun ownership rates are either relatively high or average when compared to the rest of Canada. *Frazerian analysis, for those who are not aware, is the practise of choosing only those facts which support your assertion, and ignoring those facts which work against your assertion. Frazerian analysis is practised ramapantly by both the avid proponents of the RKBA, and the proponents of strict gun control. (Sources- Angus Reid, Winnipeg Office {1991 Justice Department Survey, Statistics Canada) --