Innovation in a state of fear: the unintended? consequences of political correctness
There’s been a lot of talk lately about how the software built into self-driving cars is racist. But the problems we’re facing are not that the software is racist, nor that the programmers are racist. Most, if not all, of these problems would be solved long before the technology were placed in a car if it weren’t for two potentially huge problems in software development today. Self-driving cars are at the forefront of both: a top-down desire to computerize and control on the part of the left, and a growing fear among innovators of research and technologies that might draw the attention of social media mobs.
Software that can discern which shapes and colors in its sensors are persons and which are not is a problem with myriad applications. Under normal circumstances, that problem would be solved for less dangerous applications long before the technology were used in vehicles. Unfortunately, there is a growing fear in the technology industry of making gadgets that accidentally offend, resulting in a social media crusade against either the company or the individual programmers that made the gadget or software.1
Both of these are part of a a bigger problem, which is that progressives for the most part despise progress. The only progress they support is toward more government power, which is usually a regression to barbarism, not progress toward civilization.
Anything that improves the human condition—abundant food, cheap energy, easy travel, water management—is an evil that must be stopped. Even to the point of regretting the invention of fire. A big example from recent memory is California’s water shortage after a relatively short drought. In sane times, California would never have had a crisis just because of normal cyclic changes in rainfall. They would have built the dams they needed, decades ago, to withstand an easily foreseen temporary reduction in rainfall.
Physical progress—dams, roads, pipelines, farms—can be stopped through regulatory warfare. But software is very different. Software doesn’t impact the environment2, it can be created by individuals and very small teams, and it can be quickly iterated through versions to provide a better human experience.
So progressives try to block software advancement with virtual equivalents of physical regulations, such as imposing net neutrality on the Internet. Net neutrality is an Orwellian way of saying that “things people want to do” can’t be prioritized over “things people don’t want to do.” Net neutrality works against the market forces that improve our lives—that, in fact, made the Internet the amazingly useful thing it is today. What net neutrality means is that companies can’t provide better service for their customers3 by prioritizing what their customers want. Nor can they prioritize based on what services their customers subscribe to. This is the essential feedback loop that gives us great things and great service.
But net neutrality is not the only delta smelt in the virtual world. Part of the reason for the extreme intolerance of the left when it comes to software bugs is that finger-nanny mobbing is one of the few means by which software developers can be scared off of making innovative software. Piling onto developers, requiring quotas rather than hiring on competency4, and imposing totalitarian-like codes of conduct on development teams, encourages a culture of finger-nannying and makes programmers think twice about moving into any new area, especially one that involves people.
Automobile software algorithms that have trouble discerning human from non-human have this problem partly because they haven’t been tested in lesser applications. The reason is because those lesser applications aren’t worth the trouble of facing the intolerant left. Google’s photo app that mistakenly labeled a gorilla as a black man didn’t kill or injure anyone as a car would. But using new, innovative software in a photo app isn’t worth the trouble that will inevitably arise when the bugs that all software contains offend someone on the left. That’s why, rather then perform the iterative fixes that would be necessary to improve their facial recognition, or iteratively improve their testing processes, Google simply removed all gorillas from the app. No gorillas, no accidental facial recognition. And no chance of fixing the underlying problem before the technology moves into more dangerous areas such as self-driving vehicles. But fixing the problem would mean iterating through solutions that lower the false identification rate but not zero it. Google decided improving the software wasn’t worth the potential cost of facing social media mobs.
The dangers are all the worse because the kinds of projects that will move forward in this environment of fear are big, top-down projects like electric or self-driving cars. Projects where the potential for harm is far greater simply because the products are used in far wider areas and put into play sooner than they should be. Untested, wide population, features by committee. It’s a recipe for disaster.
All software contains bugs. Some of the bugs are going to be embarrassing. To pillory developers when their software contains bugs is to discourage software, period. The best we can hope for is to use software in less-demanding applications before we use them in more-demanding applications, so that the bugs can be found before they become dangerous.
Some software is better-tested than other software, but all software will exhibit unintended behavior unless it is not being used. It is the nature of software. It is perfectly reasonable to be intolerant of software flaws after they have been reported and they have not been fixed. It is completely unreasonable, and dangerous, to be intolerant of bugs when they are discovered the first time. In retrospect, it will always seem that a particular bug should have been obvious. But there are near-infinite bugs in all useful software; hindsight is useful only if you want to paralyze software development in lesser applications where new ideas are best introduced.
Almost all of the software being tested in cars today should also be tested in other applications, so as to progress through iterations to the potentially amazing revolution of self-driving cars. But it isn’t worth braving the intolerance of progressives, who, of course, hate progress and so don’t see their intolerance as a problem.5 This is especially a problem for the smaller companies, less able to withstand a social media mob, that would normally be making innovative software for use in smaller applications with a smaller customer base.
Fear breeds paralysis. As the mobs get worse, more progress will, instead of iterating safely and slowly, happen in dangerous spurts—or not at all. The more successful the left is, the more dangerous their stranglehold on progress becomes.
One of the ways you can know that progressives prefer blocking progress is that their recommendations tend to be insane unless you look at them from that perspective. For example, when trying to flag criminals, the recommendation is not to improve the success rate until the predictions are correct, but rather to degrade the success rate until the predictions are fair:
For a machine-learning algorithm that exhibits this kind of discrimination, Hardt’s team suggested switching some of the program’s past decisions until each demographic gets erroneous outputs at the same rate. Then, that amount of output muddling, a sort of correction, could be applied to future verdicts to ensure continued even-handedness.
“Correction” is an Orwellian euphemism for tell the software it’s wrong when it’s right. Rather than make it less wrong for black defendants, make it more wrong for white and Asian defendants. The correct solution is to expect the humans using the AI systems to override the AI when it is wrong, not to make it wrong more often. Train the AI to make better decisions in the future. That’s the point of AI, that it can interact with humans who can train it.
That, however, would expose those humans to social media mobs, which is part of why businesses want to offload such predictions away from humans in the first place.
The left’s tendency to use Orwellian terminology is a similar example. Recently people became outraged that a Google search on “are black people smart” brought up a racist diatribe that “Blacks Are the Least Intelligent Race of All”. The reason for this was not anyone gaming the search engine, nor was it that Google’s algorithms were racist. The problem, again, was political correctness. Remember when Apple’s Siri didn’t show any links to Planned Parenthood when people asked for information about abortion? Planned Parenthood deliberately avoided using the term abortion even though that’s what they do. Ask it for family planning and Siri would show all sorts of Planned Parenthood links, even though Planned Parenthood doesn’t have anything to do with family planning, only prevention.
The automotive industry has long been afraid of standing out but if Google’s reaction is any indication, the fear is spreading. And the same happens in genetics research. Any non-racist who researches the genetic basis for intelligence cannot discuss any racial factors, or they will no longer receive funding and may well lose their job for engaging in hate speech.
If the only people allowed to discuss a topic are those who are wrong, then only wrong results will show up in a search on that topic. Just as, if you’re only allowed to talk about something using a euphemism, it will only show up when that euphemism is used, and not under the real term.
But it gets worse: if a good researcher does manage to overcome the lack of funding, and somehow manages to find a publisher willing to face the mob, they still aren’t going to be shown in search results. Modern search engines rely on crowd intelligence, which works amazingly well—as long as the crowd isn’t threatened by loss of jobs and friends. Not only will good research not be linked, when it is linked it will be called racist. Which means the research showing that racists are wrong will only come up in searches for racist interpretations of intelligence, while the racists, who don’t consider themselves racist, will come up for normal searches.
This is not a fault of the algorithms. It is a fault of political correctness—euphemisms and the two-minutes hate for important lines of research. Even if search engines adjust their results to account for political correctness, necessary research to save lives still isn’t being done.
This has already happened: medical researchers have become afraid to say that men and women are biologically different, and that because of this it is critical to research men and women separately. But men and women are different regardless of what social media mobs say, and this lack of research has killed women both directly and by omission. Both cures and diseases affect men and women differently.6
If political correctness is allowed to advance a culture of fear in science, programming, and engineering, it will not only endanger us by holding back progress. It will mean that the new technologies which are developed will become more and more dangerous. Combined with the affinity of governments and the left for influencing policy by leveraging larger businesses and using top-down mandates, these dangers will affect larger and larger populations.
In response to The plexiglass highway: Government bureaucracies can cause anything to fail, even progress.
I have a suspicion that the reason Duolingo’s error-reporting option is so vague is that they want to maintain a plausible deniability.
↑Though I do occasionally see trial balloons into saying it does, and thus computer time ought to be rationed.
↑The original title or description of this Verge article was, according to Techmeme, “AT&T mobile subscribers will be able to stream DirecTV Now without using their data, as the company doubles down on disregard for the ethos of net neutrality.” Whoever wrote that wanted AT&T mobile customers to pay more for streaming.
↑A solution which, of course, severely disadvantages the smaller startups who compete with larger corporations.
↑The reason they like self-driving cars is that they present a great opportunity to hold back progress, by tying all individual travel into central control systems, even to the point of sucking your car battery overnight.
↑It is very weird, reading articles about why scientists tend not to acknowledge sex differences, to not see any reference to scientists, academics, and programmers who have lost their jobs for doing so. But imagine how research will be affected if the left can attack scientists they disagree with via accusations as vague as those recently made against Judge Kavanaugh.
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hate speech
- Lawrence Summers at Wikipedia
- “…the controversy is speculated to have contributed to his resigning his position as president of Harvard University the following year, as well as costing Summers the job of Treasury Secretary in Obama’s administration.”
- Machines are getting schooled on fairness: Maria Temming at Science News
- “At first glance, the answer seems obvious: Remove any sensitive features, such as race or sex, from the training data.”
- The medical research gender gap: how excluding women from clinical trials is hurting our health: Anna Westervelt
- “It’s taboo in some circles to suggest that we’re genetically different from each other, and yet we are,” she says. “Sex is a biological construct. There are sex differences between men and women, and how those differences manifest and what happens, from a genetic level to how the body operates, is different.”
- San Diego Pro-Choice and the Meaning of Life
- San Diego pro-abortion activists such as Canvas for a Cause and San Diego’s Radical Feminists of Occupy San Diego are protesting a San Diego Catholic organization that, in their words, “exists to prevent women from getting abortions”.
- Why Hackers Must Eject the SJWs: Eric S. Raymond at Armed and Dangerous
- “It is clear that [they] want to replace the ‘cult of meritocracy’ with something else. And equally clear that what they want to replace it with is racial and sexual identity politics… Now that… civilization is increasingly software-dependent, we have a duty… The invisible gears have to turn. The shared software infrastructure of civilization has to work, or economies will seize up and people will die.”
- ‘Sexist’ Scientist Tim Hunt: The Real Story: Cathy Young at Reason Magazine
- “The ‘Tim Hunt, misogynist scientist’ narrative has been falling apart piece by piece over the past month; last week, it was finished off by a snippet of audio recorded by a female attendee and made public by The Times. Attention should now tturn to the real scandal: irresponsible journalism magnified by social media frenzy.”
Luddism
- Algorithmic accountability: Megan Rose Dickey
- “But there is an inherent problem with algorithms that begins at the most base level and persists throughout its adaption: human bias that is baked into these machine-based decision-makers.”
- AT&T users will be able to stream DirecTV Now without using their data: Micah Singleton
- “AT&T mobile subscribers will be able to stream DirecTV Now without using their data, as the company doubles down on disregard for the ethos of net neutrality…” (Memeorandum thread)
- California drought caused by lack of rain and progressive government, but mostly progressive government
- Why does Donald Trump’s style work? Because the media has been trying to suppress conservative views for so long in order to allow crises to fester for Democrats to exploit. Now that Trump is also exploiting them, they don’t realize that their old playbook of ridicule isn’t working.
- Google ‘fixed’ its racist algorithm by removing gorillas from its image-labeling tech: James Vincent
- “Nearly three years after the company was called out, it hasn’t gone beyond a quick workaround.” (Techmeme thread)
- The New York Times Can’t Best Prometheus Over Fire’s Downsides: David Marcus at The Federalist
- “The twisted assertion here was that, had mankind never discovered fire, smoking would be impossible and women would not be stuck at home doing the cooking. The obvious problem with these claims is that without fire there would be no civilization at all.”
- Proof Positive That The NY Times Is Run By A Bunch Of Dum-Dums [CBD]: CBD at Ace of Spades HQ
- “The link is real. It’s not a clever spoof. Although it is hard to believe that even the employees of the gray Lady are this stupid.”
- Zeno’s motorcar
- Automobiles are awesome machines. But sometimes it seems as though they’re stuck twenty years in the past.
totalitarianism
- Google Firing Employee Over Diversity Discussion Is Frighteningly Authoritarian: Sumantra Maitra at The Federalist
- “The firing of the Google employee for writing a memo will inevitably bring about different excuses. It shouldn’t. It should chill your bones. Nothing could be more dystopian than the largest information, communication, and documentation hub controlling your thoughts and punishing you for wrongthink.”
- Google Firing Over Diversity Memo Shows How Outrage Addiction Is Making Us Stupid: Hans Fiene at The Federalist
- “When a man’s words are right in front of you, it would be idiotic to fire him for what people accused him of saying instead of what he actually said, but that’s precisely what Google did… These are not stupid people. Why, then, have they approached this issue in such a foolish fashion? There are two options. Either they desire to feed their own outrage addiction or they want to profit off others’ addiction. Either way, everyone involved gets dumber.”
- Socialized gasoline: The bureaucratic miracle of Vehicle-to-Grid
- Vehicle to grid, when managed by governments, will mean taking your car’s fuel and giving it to somebody else who needs it more.
More institutional Left
- The left’s hatred of business is a lie
- The left doesn’t hate business. They hate you and me.
- Roundup of Reactions to the Democrat’s Latest Corrupt Lawfare
- There can be no comity in the face of corruption the size of New York’s and DC’s. Lawfare is war, and it must be treated like war.
- Why does the Institutional Left hate Israel so much?
- The institutional Left doesn’t hate only Israel. They hate any ethnic group that rebels against enslavement by the Left.
- Illinois Nazis and Lincoln’s Democrats
- An anecdote about other people’s money and other people’s time that I’ve had sitting around for a while.
- On education, the left is mired in the fifties
- Why don’t schools have locked doors? Because when it comes to education, especially K-12, the left, as in so many things, is mired in the distant industrialized assembly-line past.
- 17 more pages with the topic institutional Left, and other related pages
More Luddism
- The plexiglass highway
- Government bureaucracies can cause anything to fail, even progress.
More mob science
- How to overcome vaccine hesitancy
- We need to take a lesson from Mark Twain. The best way to reinforce vaccine hesitancy is to force vaccinations. The best way to overcome vaccine hesitancy is to act as if vaccination is desirable.
- Two weeks, and the madness of experts
- The scientific method is the heart of the constitution and conservative philosophy.
- Science by consensus is barbarism
- The scientific method is pure, distilled civilization. It is completely unnatural.
More New Barbarism
- Barbarism and the Global Village
- If we don’t protect our borders, we don’t protect our civilization. When Rome let the barbarians in, they became barbarians.
- Money Changes Everything: Empowering the vicious
- Barbarism empowers the rich, the powerful, the vicious, the strong. Civilization empowers everyone else. Gun control and centralized economies, darlings of the progressive left, have empowered the vicious since the beginning of time. The beltway crowd prefers no competition from people free to barter, or free to defend themselves.
- The new barbarism: A return to feudalism
- The progressive left seems to have no concept of what civilization is, and of what undergirds civilization.
- Science by consensus is barbarism
- The scientific method is pure, distilled civilization. It is completely unnatural.
- Reagan’s Lincolnian Revolution
- Reagan provided an alternative to the assumption held by both parties that bureaucracy was superior to individual freedom.
- 17 more pages with the topic New Barbarism, and other related pages
More progressives
- What the f*** is wrong with Americans?
- Do you disagree with the left? Then there’s something the f*** wrong with you.
- Money Changes Everything: Empowering the vicious
- Barbarism empowers the rich, the powerful, the vicious, the strong. Civilization empowers everyone else. Gun control and centralized economies, darlings of the progressive left, have empowered the vicious since the beginning of time. The beltway crowd prefers no competition from people free to barter, or free to defend themselves.
- Should we be pessimistic about good governance going into 2016?
- As we head into the final year of President Obama’s presidency, and a new election year, it may help to look into the past for guidance.
- Liberal Fascism
- The story of how the National Socialist German Workers Party and the fascist government takeover of businesses became defined as a conservative movement by socialists and leftists who believe the government should control businesses.
- Progressive taxation static analysis
- Static analysis is one of the hallmarks of progressive analysis: make big changes, and then expect everything else to remain the same. It almost always fails, and fails big.
- Two more pages with the topic progressives, and other related pages
More sex differences
- The Destruction of Title IX
- If you put the government in charge of a desert, in fifty years you’ll have a shortage of sand. If you put the government in charge of protecting women, in fifty years you’ll have government-sponsored violence against women.
More Wokescolds
- Why now for the alt-right?
- Why are people attracted to bullying movements today, when they weren’t yesterday? Because they see that bullying works.
- Social Justice alternative thesis merits degree
- Vester Lee Flanagan completes alternative thesis format, kills news reporters for passing grade.
- Hero stops local mass shooting
- Nation has no need to grieve, goes on watching sports and talking about election trivialities. Social media finger nannies hardest hit.
- Reader Exposé: Mismediation of Deaf Culture and the tyranny of audism
- Sign language interpreters are always pulled from the ranks of the hearing, and can have no understanding of how to communicate the thoughts and feelings of the deaf.
- Orion spacecraft makes successful test flight
- Feminists complain it wasn’t wearing sensible shoes.
- One more page with the topic Wokescolds, and other related pages