The ruling class’s unexpectedly old clothes
I was re-reading an issue of 80 Microcomputing from July, 1981, when I ran across a familiar phrase:
Tandy/Radio Shack, Fort Worth, TX, had 31 percent higher sales this April than it did a year ago, and Garland P. Asher, director of financial planning for Tandy, sees it as a sign that the retail market is firming up. Asher said April was the third straight month of unexpectedly high sales figures. He said this may be a reflection of the unexpected strong upturn of the U.S. economy in the first quarter of 1981.
That would be, the unexpected strong upturn when President Reagan took office, with the expectation of all that he’d promised to do to restore American jobs and business. To leftist economists, the sudden, similarly thriving economy of 2017 was just as unexpected. Their forecast after Trump’s election was:
If the question is when markets will recover, a first-pass answer is never… we are very probably looking at a global recession, with no end in sight.
Among the many dark jokes among conservative commentators is the use of “unexpected” to describe economic gains during a conservative presidency and economic losses during a Democratic presidency. Economic forecasts and even quarterly estimates during the Obama administration always seemed to have to be unexpectedly revised downward; the same forecasts and estimates during the Trump administration always seemed to be unexpectedly revised upward.
While I wasn’t aware that the “unexpected” turn of phrase went back to the eighties, I was aware that the press had the same worldview then. Things were always unexpected to them whether they used the word or not. In Straight Stuff: The Reporters, the White House, and the Truth, James Deakins looked at the United States economy in 1983 and concluded that Reagan was doomed to be a one-term president. The already visibly-improved economy under Reagan was unexpected, and could not possibly last. In fact, the economic growth under Reagan was the start of one of the longest sustained periods of growth then or since. Reagan won his second term.
It isn’t just the economy. I’ve seen the same blindness from the socialist media complex when reporters write about events during those eras. Lawrence Weschler, writing in 1981 or so about the Solidarity-inspired Polish uprising changed his characterization of the Soviet Union depending on how it helped the Soviet Union. He ridiculed Reagan for calling the Soviet Union a “fearsome opponent” when it was, in reality, a “pitiful giant”. But when it comes to Solidarity’s hopes of, and Reagan’s predictions of, a Soviet collapse amid further breakaway republics, Weschler upgraded the Soviet Union back to a fearsome opponent. It was inconceivable to him that, six years after his book was published, Lech Walesa would be president of an independent Poland.
That’s the prism of the left and their press: when conservative policies coincide with beneficial outcomes, it is always unexpected. They never see it coming.
Similarly, the breakup of AT&T’s government-sponsored monopoly in 1984 was accompanied by forecasts of technological doom. Innovation and quality would plummet once AT&T had to compete with other companies for customers. Instead, of course, phones and phone service got better, cheaper, and more reliable.
When Reagan removed price controls on oil, the press and the left thought it meant economic doom for the United States and the poor. The subsequent drop in the price of oil came entirely unexpectedly to the left—and was characterized as economically undesirable when it happened. They applied the same characterization as energy prices plummeted because of the efforts of oilmen in Texas and other conservative states, too. That the economy thrives when we have cheap energy is always unexpected.
If the ruling class is blind to the obvious benefits of conservative policies, they are even more blind to the obvious failures of leftist policies. We’re now over half a century into the Great Society that reversed the economic gains of the poor, minorities in particular, and blacks most especially, and no one in the press will admit to the obvious; they’ll call it racist when the obvious is pointed out.
Even into the 1960s, Soviet five-year plans were expected to bury the United States economically. To everyone except Ronald Reagan and conservatives, the collapse of the Soviet Union came unexpectedly, despite what, outside of the ruling class, were obvious signs. Weschler, for example, clearly saw those signs in Poland. He wrote about them, but did not understand them. They were outside his expectations.
Remember this when you hear a politician or a talking head claim that the government must take control of the economy or the market. The market and the economy are the American people. That the American people do better when they’re not controlled by the government is entirely unexpected to them.
In response to The Wisdom of Partisan: Throughout history, the people willing to split the baby have been the people who win. Can we break that thread?
double standards
- 2020: The Dark Joke Returns
- It’s long past time to do something about the dark jokes we make about corruption among the beltway class.
- Economic misterminology: recessions that never end
- When we remove causes and effects from our descriptions of economic events, such as recessions, we lose our ability to change for the better.
- Illegal Alien and a Dude Stalk Krysten Sinema to Videotape Her Going to the Bathroom; Democrat Media Justifies: Ace at Ace of Spades HQ
- “Biden—himself not a great respecter of women’s right to consent or refuse advances—allowed that stalking a woman into a bathroom to take care of her most private of all personal business wasn’t ‘appropriate,’ but then added: ‘It happens to everybody.’ He also said that getting stalked into the bathroom was just ‘part of the process’ that every public servant agrees to when they take office. “‘Moderate’ Republicans are always praised. Moderate Democrats are demonized. The media justifies its constant promotion of Republican ‘moderates’ by claiming ‘we’re just trying to defend against extremism and encourage people to talk to each other and compromise.’ But when a Democrat is a moderate, they attack, to pressure that moderate to join the extremists.”
- Trump’s rally: the media is the dog
- I was at the rally in DC, and what I saw is completely at odds with what’s being reported.
economics
- Basic Economics: A Citizen’s Guide to the Economy
- Economics is an important topic, because unlike every other complex field, “from botany to brain surgery”, we cannot avoid taking part: while we can, and usually should, refuse to perform brain surgery, we should not refuse to vote for politicians (and, in some states, initiatives) that have wide-ranging economic effects.
- Capitalism is not an ism
- Capitalism is not a system—it’s just what people do when they get together peacefully. When people complain about capitalism, they’re really saying that they want more power over what people do when they get together peacefully.
unexpectedly
- The Enduring Media Myth of ‘Unexpected’ Bad Economic News When POTUS Is a Dem: Stephen Kruiser at PJ Media
- “It took just four words before the author got to a wordier variation of ‘unexpected’ there. That may not seem like much, but this is the kind of bias that has a cumulative effect. When they keep reporting that disappointing economic indicators are ‘unexpected,’ it creates a sense that the Democrat in the White House is merely a victim of circumstances when it comes to his policies.”
- Murrow: His Life and Times
- Edward R. Murrow inspired generations of journalists with his reports from the London blitz on radio and, later, his reports on McCarthyism on television.
- Natural monopolies: a 20-minute call for $8.83
- “A 20-minute call anywhere in the country will cost me only $3.33? What’s the catch?” The catch is that those are still outrageous monopolistic prices.
- Review: Straight Stuff: The Reporters, the White House, and the Truth: Jerry Stratton at Jerry@Goodreads
- Deakin was very good at not seeing things that disagreed with him. He cherry-picked his examples, contradicted himself repeatedly depending on the point he wanted to make, shifts his arguments, and blindly assumes that what he wants to see is what he sees.
- Review: The passion of Poland: from Solidarity through the state of war: Jerry Stratton at Jerry@Goodreads
- This is a fascinating topic, and it appears that Weschler is very informed; the main problem is that every time he attempts to contrast Poland with the United States, he clearly doesn’t know what he’s talking about. Should I succumb to Gell-Mann amnesia and trust the parts that I know nothing about? But while the analysis seems to be lacking in just about every respect, the observations are amazing.
More Democrat-media complex
- The Silver Blaze Media and the Gaslight Election
- This isn’t just the Gaslight election, it’s the Silver Blaze election.
- Has Trump forced the media into a Kobayashi Maru?
- The Kobayashi Maru is that the media wants to be able to continue lying and be believed. People don’t distrust them because of Trump. People distrust them because they keep lying. It is a self-caused problem.
- A direct line to the Charlottesville riots… from 1938
- The press has been downplaying violent rioting for almost a year. Cities have been letting violent rioters get away with, literally, inciting murder. At best they are ignored by the press and at worst praised by the press and by politicians on the left. Why be surprised that we have more violent riots?
- ‘They were not patriots’: New Orleans removes monument to Democrats
- Monuments to Democrats are increasingly under fire in their former firewall states.
- Trump outsmarts establishment again?
- You know, the funny thing is, how lousy most of your lies are. You tell violent lies, you tell dirty lies, you tell scurrilous lies about conservative families. But most of your lies are not very good, are they? Funny that so many smart people can work so hard on lies, and spend all that money on them, and, what do you think it is? It must be the money. It turns everything to crap.
More double standards
- Journalists accuse blacks of “rape culture”
- Following an interview with prominent black author Ta-Nehisi Coates where he says that he avoids being alone with other women, mostly-white liberals accuse him of misogyny and perpetuating black rape culture.
- Hillary Clinton and husband accused of sexual assault
- Between them, Democratic Presidential candidate Hillary Clinton and her husband, William, stand accused of sexual harassment or assault against at least eight women, and have paid settlements of at least $850,000.
More economics
- Capitalism is not an ism
- Capitalism is not a system—it’s just what people do when they get together peacefully. When people complain about capitalism, they’re really saying that they want more power over what people do when they get together peacefully.
- Basic Economics: A Citizen’s Guide to the Economy
- Economics is an important topic, because unlike every other complex field, “from botany to brain surgery”, we cannot avoid taking part: while we can, and usually should, refuse to perform brain surgery, we should not refuse to vote for politicians (and, in some states, initiatives) that have wide-ranging economic effects.
- Definitionally dodging recession responsibility
- You’re in a recession when the economy’s doing well; you’re out of it when the economy sucks. Ignore that mortgage crisis behind the curtain.
More media bias
- COVID Lessons: Journalistic Delusions and the Madness of Politicians
- COVID-19 was real. The crisis surrounding it was entirely manufactured. Everything we did took a manageable disease and turned it into a killer. And the very worst was believing a media we knew was lying.
- How many fingers, America?
- The Orwellianization of the left continues.
- Has Trump forced the media into a Kobayashi Maru?
- The Kobayashi Maru is that the media wants to be able to continue lying and be believed. People don’t distrust them because of Trump. People distrust them because they keep lying. It is a self-caused problem.
- The institutional forgetfulness of the press
- We no longer have to rely on the press as our institutional memory. The Internet has made it harder for the left to pretend the past doesn’t exist, or to say one thing here and another there.
- How the left transformed vulgarity into courage and elected Donald Trump
- When you lose to Donald Trump, look inward, because it isn’t Donald Trump’s fault. The establishment left, especially the media, attacked Donald Trump just like he was Joe the Plumber. But Donald Trump has the platform to attack back. Doing so took courage, and the Plumbers of America recognized that.
- 34 more pages with the topic media bias, and other related pages
More unreasoning partisanship
- Why do gun owners think the left wants to take our guns?
- Gun owners think the left wants to take away guns because the left keeps refusing commonsense gun laws in favor of laws that ban guns.
- Corpseman resurrected: correcting Betsy DeVos
- The left has once again decided that the way those people speak is ignorant, and that those people are too stupid to hold public office.
- Why is the country so divided?
- Because you keep trying to tell everyone else what to do.
- Divisive double standards
- It’s a hypocritical form of divisiveness, calling for togetherness and reason whenever your side commits a crime, and engaging in unreasoning partisanship when you can find some way to pin it on others.
- Why now for the alt-right?
- Why are people attracted to bullying movements today, when they weren’t yesterday? Because they see that bullying works.
- 32 more pages with the topic unreasoning partisanship, and other related pages