Europe, the West, and the graphs of destruction
The significance of the graphs of destruction is that they empower individuals and small groups to cause mass destruction. Only one line on that graph is subject to alteration. The march of progress in medicine, biology, technology, physics, chemistry, and mathematics ensures that the technological line will always move down—it will always be getting easier for individuals to cause mayhem. Even improvements in our ability to travel quickly also improve the ability of people who want to kill to move to where they want to kill.
Our only hope is that people—our euphemistic “non-state actors”—don’t want to use new and easier technology for destruction when it becomes available.
We have, for the last eight years at least, been going about it wrong, 180 degrees from what we should be doing to affect the graph’s line of desire. It isn’t Iran that we have to worry about in the long run. It’s Iranians. Not Syria, but Syrians. Not China, but the Chinese. If we want to affect that line positively, we need to support the Green Revolutions, not their oppressors. The librarians of Cuba, not the Castros. The people of Iraq who voted Maliki out, and not Maliki. The people of impoverished countries and not their corrupt governments.
It is the children of the Green movement in Iran who will grow up abandoned by the United States who will cross the graphs of destruction. The children of Cubans who we threw to the Castros in favor of improving state relations.
Almost every aspect of our top-down foreign policy is wrong, from charitable organizations that put charity in the hands of corrupt governments to diplomats who prefer appealing to dictators rather than to the people the dictators oppress.
We need to support opportunity, not put handouts in the hands of governments to maintain their power. Both political and economic opportunity must be improved; when there exists real opportunity to improve their own lives, people will have less time and less desire to ruin the lives of others.
And the two sides—governments and people—are not mutually exclusive. It isn’t “do nothing or go to war” as politicians often like to characterize their relations with dictators. We do not have to abandon Cubans to normalize relations with Cuba. All we need do is tie improved human rights to normalization. The Castros are not going to block millions of dollars of investment just to keep beating librarians. But small liberties mean more people speaking; which means shining more light on abuses; which means more concessions in favor of human rights that we can require for further normalizations.
As we saw in Russia, small liberties can mean the rise to power of real reformers, not the fake reformers hand-chosen by despotic mullahs.
We need to be proud of our own freedoms.
It has long been tempting to think that we can make friends with strongmen, and their people will fall in behind. But this has never been true. If their people supported them, they wouldn’t need to be dictators. And as their ability to bypass dictatorships rises, the more of a mistake top-down foreign policy becomes.
It is in America’s national interest to encourage freedom and free markets abroad, because that is how we bend the graphs of destruction to humanity’s favor.
In response to To the ends of the earth: Why don’t we see any evidence of extraterrestrial intelligence? And will we survive long enough to make ourselves known to the universe?
communism
- In Castro’s gulag—librarians: Nat Hentoff
- “It is worth noting that since many of these prisoners of conscience are more than 50 years old, they will spend the rest of their lives in the gulag—suffering, in some cases, lives shortened by disease and the eventual abandonment by the world press.”
- Naming China’s Dead End: Ellen Bork at The Weekly Standard
- “Honoring dissident Liu Xiaobo”
- When Boris Yeltsin went grocery shopping in Clear Lake: Craig Hlavaty at Houston Chronicle
- “Boris Yeltsin and a handful of Soviet companions made an unscheduled 20-minute visit to a Randall’s Supermarket after touring the Johnson Space Center. Between trying free samples of cheese and produce and staring at the meat selections, Yeltsin roamed the aisles of Randall's nodding his head in amazement.”
Middle East
- Neda: comatus at Hot Air
- “I finally looked at her picture, and she looked familiar somehow. I think we have a statue of her in the harbor at New York. Delacroix caught a glimpse of her once on a barricade in Paris. She carried water to the cannon crews at Monmouth, and drove a chariot at Watling Street. She cut off Holophernes’ head. She will be missed, but she will be back. She’s that kind of girl.”
- Comparing our Iran negotiations to our Soviet negotiations
- Natan Sharansky asks, "When did America forget that it’s America?” He is basically pointing out the same thing I did: that we are not defining civilization as better than barbarism.
- Five Years of Horror in Syria: Lee Smith at The Weekly Standard
- “The leader of the free world disdained to help them because he had his eyes on a nuclear deal with Iran, and the clerical regime in Tehran was helping its Syrian ally Assad to crush the opposition like insects. If he helped the farmers and pharmacists to defend themselves and their families, Obama reasoned, it would damage his chances of doing a deal with the cruel regime that was Assad's partner in slaughter.”
- Obama’s Disastrous Iraq Policy: An Autopsy: Peter Beinart at The Atlantic
- “The president ignored the country and its increasingly dictatorial prime minister for years.” (Memeorandum thread)
- Phony Truce: Lee Smith at The Weekly Standard
- “The paradox at the heart of the truce is that it was supposed to facilitate humanitarian assistance. It was supposed to bring some relief to those whom Assad’s forces, Hezbollah, Iran, and Russia have been killing. But it won’t bring them relief; it will just make them more vulnerable by disarming the only people who are protecting them.”
peace
- The Case for Democracy
- When did America forget that it’s America?
- The graphs of destruction
- Imagine a graph with two lines charted against the years: the resources needed to cause mass destruction, and the resources available to those who want to cause mass destruction. Those lines are dangerously close today.
More great filter
- The Vicious Cycle of Mass Murders
- We now know what went wrong. Let’s ignore the ghouls on Facebook and fix it.
- California arson and the Great Filter
- The California arsonist is the wave of the future, unless we return to a society of “laws, not men.”
- The graphs of destruction
- Imagine a graph with two lines charted against the years: the resources needed to cause mass destruction, and the resources available to those who want to cause mass destruction. Those lines are dangerously close today.
- To the ends of the earth
- Why don’t we see any evidence of extraterrestrial intelligence? And will we survive long enough to make ourselves known to the universe?
More terrorism
- But the rhetoric’s so much better here under the tragedy!
- Want to stop domestic terrorism? Take seriously those who say they want to kill. Want to stop the oppression of women and the gay community? Take seriously those who say they want to literally enslave women and kill gays.
- Exclusive: Garland gunman’s Fast & Furious firearm form
- Garland, Texas, gunman Nadir Soofi purchased at least one firearm through the Obama administrations Fast and Furious program for arming drug lords, according to Justice Department sources.