Should we be pessimistic about good governance going into 2016?
As we head into a new election year, I may not be optimistic, but I’m not pessimistic either.
In 1912, the United States elected a progressive president who imprisoned perceived political enemies, even inconsequential ones, even activists who shared his progressive vision but differed on implementation. He segregated federal agencies that had been opened up by Republicans. He organized the entire country around a militaristic model, pretty much nationalized the banking system and the railroads and his War Industries Board pulled the strings on the rest of industry by controlling raw materials and setting production quotas.
But when the war ended, even though progressives wanted to maintain this fundamental transformation of the economy, the War Industries Board was disbanded. Government control of the economy wasn’t ended quickly enough to avert the Great Depression of 1921, but Republican President Warren Harding responded by keeping the government out of the economy and reducing taxes, and the Great Depression of 1921 is barely remembered nowadays.
In 1932, the United States elected a progressive president who imprisoned perceived enemies, including an entire race of people on the west coast, but he couldn’t expand his enemies list to political enemies or even to German-Americans. He attempted to reinstate Wilson’s War Industries Board early on in the Great Depression, and the Great Depression of 1928 is long-remembered because it lasted for a long time in response to his policies. But his National Recovery Administration was less powerful than Wilson’s WIB. President Roosevelt did manage to nationalize retirement planning, but only by framing it as an individual savings plan. Because World War II distracted the government from the domestic economy, the Great Depression finally ended and we had the boom of the fifties under Republican President Eisenhower.
In 1968, the United States elected a progressive president who tried to maintain an enemies list and was forced out of office because of it. President Nixon implemented price and wage controls but they didn’t last and only hard-core progressives want them back. He is remembered today mainly for failing to effectively punish his political enemies. Now, some of Nixon’s failure was undoubtedly because, unlike Wilson and FDR, he was a Republican, and—at least by the late sixties—was a bigger media target because of this. He is often blamed for the Vietnam War, for example, which was started by his more conservative predecessor, President John F. Kennedy and escalated by Kennedy’s Vice President, Lyndon Johnson. But regardless of the reason for his failure, his attempt to usher in a new progressive order failed even more miserably than Roosevelt’s, whose progressive order failed even more than Wilson’s.
In 2008, the United States elected a progressive president who rails on and on about his perceived political enemies and has a strong ally in the establishment media. But nobody is silenced nor, except for one anti-Muslim filmmaker, been imprisoned. He nationalized health insurance and much of the health care industry, but did so without any assistance from the minority Republican Party. The very public failures of that policy, which he is unable to silence, may yet destroy it. His lies about that policy are front-page news and lost him the Senate. He will mostly be remembered for cronyism among the health care and auto industries, among others. He’s been nearly a complete failure, even more so than Nixon.
Despite two years of Democrats controlling congress, he’s been limited mainly to tying up the economy in executive orders. Because that’s where much of his red tape lies, a conservative successor, should we be that fortunate, can easily usher in an economic revival though their own executive order removing all of that red tape.
At this rate, in twenty or thirty years we’ll elect a progressive president who complains about his enemies on Twitter and is routinely ignored even by the press, and whose nationalization of the Candy Crush industry fails spectacularly.
On the domestic front, Barack Obama is not as bad as Nixon, who was not as bad as FDR, who was not as bad as Wilson. Foreign-policy-wise, he was worse than all of them, of course, and that will come back to us if it isn’t coming back to us now. But there is a lot to be thankful for when looking back on President Obama’s tenure compared to Nixon’s, FDR’s, and Wilson’s.
In response to 2015 in photos: For photos and perhaps other quick notes sent from my mobile device or written on the fly during 2015.
- The Lone Politician Who Stood against Japanese Internment: Marjorie Haun
- “Governor Carr spoke out stridently against the internment of Japanese-Americans as ‘inhumane and unconstitutional’… he opposed measures that stripped Japanese-Americans of their civil rights, not to mention their personal property, and which treated them as war criminals.”
- Not-So-Great Depression: Jim Powell at The Cato Institute
- “While Harding can hardly be considered a champion of laissez-faire economics (he supported tariffs, after all), the pro-growth policies he implemented are directly responsible for the astonishingly rapid growth in prosperit—and widely shared prosperity—America enjoyed throughout the Roaring 20s.”
- Republican President must keep Roosevelt’s word
- Even if a future conservative president doesn’t believe Americans of Japanese descent are disloyal, says Irwin Stelzer, he should think twice before rescinding President Roosevelt’s Executive Orders. The President’s honor—and the nation’s—is more important than politics.
- Woodrow Wilson: Federal Segregation: Deanna Boyd and Kendra Chen
- “During Woodrow Wilson’s 1912 presidential campaign, he promised African Americans advancement. Believing in his promise, many African Americans broke their affiliation with the Republican Party and voted for Wilson. Less than a month after his March 4, 1913 inauguration, President Wilson’s Administration took the first steps towards segregating the federal service.”
More Barack Obama
- Obama to lead domestic violence shelter
- Former President Barack Obama promises to tear down the barriers of hate, and end the divisions that plague shelters. “We will restore the Sanctuary’s image as the last, best hope for acceptance for all those touched by domestic violence.”
- Trump vs. the Media: authenticity and humility
- A meme running around comparing what President Trump wrote in the Holocaust memorial guestbook to what Senator Obama wrote shows a surprising humility in President Trump.
- The Last Defense against Donald Trump?
- When you’ve dismantled every other defense, what’s left except the whining? The fact is, Democrats can easily defend against Trump over-using the power of the presidency. They don’t want to, because they want that power intact when they get someone in.
- Election lessons: be careful what you wish for
- Republicans should learn from the Democrats’ mistake of the primary season: be careful what you wish for, you might just get… half of it. They wanted Donald Trump as Hillary Clinton’s opponent.
- Lessons for new Presidents: Entangling long-term alliances
- How will our foreign policy change after President Obama’s Fortress America?
- 26 more pages with the topic Barack Obama, and other related pages
More President Franklin Roosevelt
- Franklin D. Trump: What else can I do?
- Does the left want internment camps for Americans of Russian descent?
- Republican President must keep Roosevelt’s word
- Even if a future conservative president doesn’t believe Americans of Japanese descent are disloyal, says Irwin Stelzer, he should think twice before rescinding President Roosevelt’s Executive Orders. The President’s honor—and the nation’s—is more important than politics.
- Liberal Fascism
- The story of how the National Socialist German Workers Party and the fascist government takeover of businesses became defined as a conservative movement by socialists and leftists who believe the government should control businesses.
More President Woodrow Wilson
- Liberal Fascism
- The story of how the National Socialist German Workers Party and the fascist government takeover of businesses became defined as a conservative movement by socialists and leftists who believe the government should control businesses.
More progressives
- What the f*** is wrong with Americans?
- Do you disagree with the left? Then there’s something the f*** wrong with you.
- Money Changes Everything: Empowering the vicious
- Barbarism empowers the rich, the powerful, the vicious, the strong. Civilization empowers everyone else. Gun control and centralized economies, darlings of the progressive left, have empowered the vicious since the beginning of time. The beltway crowd prefers no competition from people free to barter, or free to defend themselves.
- Innovation in a state of fear: the unintended? consequences of political correctness
- Is political correctness poised to literally kill minorities as it may already have killed women, because scientists avoid critical research in order to avoid social media mobs?
- Liberal Fascism
- The story of how the National Socialist German Workers Party and the fascist government takeover of businesses became defined as a conservative movement by socialists and leftists who believe the government should control businesses.
- Progressive taxation static analysis
- Static analysis is one of the hallmarks of progressive analysis: make big changes, and then expect everything else to remain the same. It almost always fails, and fails big.
- Two more pages with the topic progressives, and other related pages
More Richard Nixon
- All the President’s Men
- Supposedly written because Robert Redford wanted to base a movie on the book, this is a great memoir of two journalists wondering what the hell was up after a failed burglary on an office in the Watergate Building.
- The Palace Guard
- This is an amazing account of the rise of Nixon’s White House staff: Mitchell, Haldeman, and Erlichman. It’s also interesting seeing clear media bias, from one of the media’s then-leading lights, over thirty years after he wrote it, and eight years after his own self-made demise.
Past performance, of course, is not an indicator of future performance… except when it is.